Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction, team news and preview

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: what the match decides

Willem II host PEC Zwolle at the Koning Willem II Stadion on Friday 6 November 2026 in Round 12 of the Eredivisie. The home side sit 18th of 18 with 2 points from 11 games, having won none, drawn two and lost nine. They are in the relegation zone, which sends the bottom club down to the Eerste Divisie.

Zwolle are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (three wins, two draws, six defeats). That puts them nine points clear of Willem II, though still far from comfortable, and Feyenoord lead the table on 25 points.

The main question is whether Willem II can finally collect a first league win. The numbers say Zwolle are the more stable side, and our lean follows that, but the home team will have the extra pressure of a season already slipping away.

Willem II and PEC Zwolle recent form

Willem II have lost all of their last five league games (LLLLL). Across their last five matches in all competitions they won once, a 4-3 KNVB Beker win at Helmond Sport, and lost four, scoring 8 and conceding 22. That is 1.6 goals scored and 4.4 conceded per game, with no clean sheets, and all five games produced more than 2.5 goals.

The recent results include a 0-7 defeat at PSV Eindhoven and a 1-6 home loss to Cambuur. That Cambuur game is the only home match in the recent sample: Willem II scored one and conceded six.

Zwolle have taken two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five (LWDLW), scoring 7 and conceding 5, or 1.4 for and 1.0 against per game. They kept one clean sheet, a 1-0 win over ADO Den Haag on 1 November, and also beat GO Ahead Eagles 4-1. The setbacks were a 0-1 loss to Cambuur and a 1-2 home cup exit against FC OSS. Their only recent away game was a 1-1 draw at Utrecht.

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle team news

Willem II have two players out: J. Hoogma with a knee injury and A. Lachkar with a groin injury. No doubtful players are listed for the home side in our data. For a team conceding 4.4 goals a game, losing any defensive depth is a concern.

PEC Zwolle have three players out. S. Floranus is out with an injury, F. Krastev with an Achilles tendon injury, and G. Rahajaan is listed as inactive. No doubtful players are reported for the visitors.

Line-ups have not been published in our data so far. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, so check the official team sheets before drawing firm conclusions.

Storylines: a winless run against a shaky climb

For Willem II the story is a stark one. They have no league wins, a goal difference of -29 (10 scored, 39 conceded) and five straight league defeats. The 4-3 cup win at Helmond Sport shows they can score and win, but the league form gives little evidence of defensive control.

Zwolle's season is more mixed. Their goal difference is -11 (12 scored, 23 conceded), and they are only a few places above the drop zone. A win here would stretch the gap to Willem II to 12 points, while a poor result would leave a team in the lower half exposed.

The cup exit to FC OSS shows Zwolle can be inconsistent against lower-ranked opposition, which is relevant when facing a side desperate for a result.

Where Willem II vs PEC Zwolle could be decided

The biggest contrast is Willem II's defence against Zwolle's recent output. Willem II concede 4.4 goals a game over their last five, while Zwolle score 1.4. Even a modest Zwolle attack should find chances if the home back line stays this open.

At the other end, Zwolle have been tighter, conceding 1.0 a game and keeping one clean sheet in five. Willem II scored in four of their last five, yet 8 goals in five games is not a reliable return, and they failed to score once.

Game state may matter. Willem II have conceded early and heavily in several recent games, so an early Zwolle goal could shape the match. If the hosts stay level into the second half, the home crowd could become a factor.

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head

The last six meetings, from August 2021 to May 2025, were split fairly evenly: PEC Zwolle won three, Willem II won two and one finished 2-2. They produced 2.67 goals per game, with both teams scoring in three and more than 2.5 goals in three.

The latest meeting went to Zwolle, 2-1 at Willem II on 14 May 2025 in the Eredivisie. Before that, Willem II won 1-0 at Zwolle in December 2024. Two of the six games came in the Eerste Divisie: a 2-2 draw in September 2022 and a 3-2 Zwolle win in Tilburg in March 2023.

These meetings are older than the current form and offer little predictive weight given Willem II's recent results, but they show the fixture is rarely one-sided.

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Our lean is a PEC Zwolle win. They sit nine points ahead, have conceded 1.0 goals a game in their last five against 4.4 for Willem II, and face a team with no league wins and five league defeats in a row. Absences are a slight issue for both sides, but Willem II's defensive record is the biggest factor.

On goals, a lean towards more than 2.5 is reasonable, since all five of Willem II's recent games cleared that mark, although only two of Zwolle's did. A Zwolle win by one or two goals looks the most likely shape.

What could change it: a strong home start, a Zwolle slip like the cup loss to FC OSS, or late team news. This is a lean, not a certainty. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the Eredivisie's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

Kick-off is shown in your own time zone on this page, and line-ups are confirmed about an hour before the start.

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