Venezia vs Inter prediction, team news and preview

Venezia vs Inter: what the match decides

Venezia host Inter at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo on Wednesday 28 October 2026 in round 9 of Serie A. It pairs the league leaders with the bottom side, and the table shows how far apart they are: Inter have 22 points from eight games, Venezia have 3 from eight, a gap of 19 points.

For Inter, the match decides whether a strong start carries on. They are first with seven wins and a draw, a goal difference of +13 and a place in the Champions League league-stage zone. For Venezia, who sit 20th in the relegation zone with one win and seven defeats, it is a chance to take points off a side that has not lost in the league this season.

The short answer to the question most readers ask is that Inter are clear favourites on every measure in our data, from league position to head-to-head record. The interest lies in the details: Inter's injury list, a run of five games in 15 days, and whether Venezia's home form, which is poor but not hopeless, can make the evening awkward for the visitors.

Venezia and Inter recent form

Venezia's league form makes difficult reading. Across their last five games they have won once and lost four, scoring 4 goals and conceding 10, an average of 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per game. They have kept one clean sheet and failed to score twice.

At home the picture is only slightly better. In three home games within that run they have won one and lost two, scoring 3 and conceding 6, with one clean sheet. The win was a 1-0 against Napoli on 17 October; the home defeats were 2-4 against Fiorentina and 0-2 against Lazio. They arrive after a 0-1 loss at Genoa on 25 October.

Inter's last five, across Serie A and the Champions League, read W L W W W: four wins and one defeat, 12 goals scored and 6 conceded, or 2.4 and 1.2 per game. They have scored in every one of the five, kept two clean sheets and played more than 2.5 goals in four of them. The results were 3-0 against Parma, 3-4 against Club Brugge, 3-1 at Bologna, 1-0 against Shakhtar Donetsk and 2-1 against Fiorentina.

Away form is a thin sample: only one of those five games was on the road, the 3-1 win at Bologna on 17 October. Treat it as a pointer rather than a trend.

Venezia vs Inter team news

Venezia have four players listed as out. A. Adorante has a hernia, T. Correia a thigh injury, B. Franjic a shoulder injury and M. Sverko a hip injury. No players are listed as doubtful on the home side.

Inter have five players listed as out: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez and B. Pavard, all with thigh injuries, plus J. Stones with an injury for which no detail is given. No doubtful players are listed for the visitors either.

Our data does not give positions or minutes played for these players, so the exact effect on each side is hard to size. What the numbers do show is that Inter have played five matches in 15 days, and a list of five absentees, four of them with thigh problems, tests squad depth at a point when the schedule is heavy. For Venezia, four absentees add to a side already conceding two goals a game.

No line-ups are published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will reflect them in the analysis once they are known.

Venezia vs Inter storylines

Venezia's story is one of scoring problems and a shaky defence. They have 6 goals in eight league games, fewer than one per match, and have conceded 17, more than two per game, for a goal difference of -11. Their single win, 1-0 against Napoli on 17 October, came after three straight defeats to Fiorentina, Lazio and Atalanta, and was followed by the loss at Genoa.

Inter's story is a high-scoring league run with one blemish elsewhere. They have scored 23 times in eight league games, almost three per match, and conceded 10, with seven wins and one draw. Their only recent defeat in our data is the 3-4 home loss to Club Brugge in the Champions League on 13 October, a reminder that Inter can be drawn into open games.

Both sides played on Sunday 25 October, Inter beating Fiorentina 2-1 and Venezia losing at Genoa, so rest is similar. The match can change the picture at the top only if Inter slip, which their record gives little reason to expect. For Venezia it can change the mood at the bottom, though our data does not show how far they are from safety.

Pressure sits differently on each side. Inter are expected to win, while Venezia have little to lose against opponents who have beaten them in all five meetings in our records.

Where Venezia vs Inter could be decided

The central contest is Inter's attack against Venezia's defence. Inter average 2.4 goals per game over their last five and have scored in all of them, while Venezia concede 2.0 per game overall and 2.0 per game at home. Inter scored three or more in three of those five matches, and Venezia have conceded three or more twice in their last five.

The other side of the picture is closer. Venezia score 0.8 per game and failed to score in two of their last five, while Inter concede 1.2 per game and kept two clean sheets. The Brugge defeat shows that Inter can concede freely when a game opens up, so an early Venezia goal would matter more than the averages suggest.

Game state is likely to shape everything. Venezia's one recent home win was a 1-0 against Napoli, which suggests their best route is a tight, low-tempo contest. If Inter score first, as the 5-1 Coppa Italia result in December 2025 hints they often can against this opponent, that route closes quickly.

Our data has no set-piece figures, so we leave that area out rather than guess. With injuries on both sides, the substitutes who come into the match may matter more than the starting elevens.

Venezia vs Inter head-to-head

Inter have won all five meetings in our records. Venezia have no wins and no draws, and the five games have produced 13 goals, an average of 2.6 per game. Inter scored 11 of them and Venezia 2.

Both teams scored in two of the five games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in two. The most recent meeting was a 5-1 Inter win in the Coppa Italia on 3 December 2025. Before that came a 1-0 Inter win at Venezia in Serie A on 12 January 2025 and a 1-0 Inter home win on 3 November 2024.

The two older games were a 2-1 Inter win on 22 January 2022 and a 2-0 Inter win at Venezia on 27 November 2021. Both of Venezia's goals in the series came away from home. In the two league games at the Penzo in our records, Inter won 2-0 and 1-0, and Venezia did not score.

This is a small sample with a gap of almost three years in the middle, and squads have changed since. It supports Inter's favouritism but should not carry as much weight as current form.

Venezia vs Inter prediction

Our overall read is a match in which Inter hold most of the initiative and Venezia try to stay compact and hit back. The lean is an Inter win. The 19-point gap, Inter's 2.4 goals per game in recent matches, Venezia's 2.0 goals conceded per game and a five-from-five head-to-head record all point the same way.

On goals, the lean is towards three goals or so, with a modest edge for more than 2.5. Inter have played more than 2.5 goals in four of their last five, and Venezia have conceded twice per game. Against that, Venezia score only 0.8 per game, and only two of the five meetings with Inter had more than 2.5 goals, so this is a small lean rather than a strong one. Whether both teams score is genuinely open: Venezia failed to score in two of their last five, but Inter's defence has conceded in several recent games.

Three things could change the read. Inter's five absentees may blunt their depth after a heavy run of fixtures. An early goal for Venezia would pull the match towards the open pattern seen against Brugge. And the confirmed line-ups, due about an hour before kick-off, may shift the balance.

MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Venezia vs Inter

The match is listed with official broadcasters in many countries. In Italy, it is on DAZN and Sky Sport. In the United Kingdom, the listed broadcasters are DAZN, TNT Sports and BBC Alba, and in Ireland DAZN and TNT Sports. In the United States, it is on Paramount+ and Telemundo, and in Canada on fuboTV and TLN.

DAZN is also listed in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Spain, France, Belgium, Luxembourg and Japan, and Sky Sport is listed alongside it in Switzerland. Ziggo Sport covers the Netherlands, beIN Sports covers Australia and New Zealand, and ESPN is listed across much of Latin America, including Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico.

In Africa, SuperSport is the listed broadcaster in countries including South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya, with SportyTV also listed in some. In the Middle East, StarzPlay and Shasha Sports are listed in several markets, including the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

If your country is not named here, check the Serie A official broadcast partner where you live and its official app. Coverage listings can change, so confirm on the broadcaster's own schedule before the match.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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