Belarus vs Albania prediction, team news and preview

Belarus vs Albania: what the match decides

Belarus host Albania at the Illovszky Rudolf Stadion on Sunday 15 November 2026 in round 6 of League C Group A in the UEFA Nations League. Albania lead the four-team group on 12 points from five games, with Belarus second on 10. The table marks Albania's place as Promotion and Belarus's as Promotion Play-offs.

The match therefore decides who finishes top of the group. Belarus need a result to close the two-point gap, while Albania can protect their position with a good performance away from home.

Belarus and Albania recent form

Belarus have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five (LDWWW), scoring 7 and conceding 2, or 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded per game. They have kept four clean sheets, but they failed to score twice and none of their five games saw both teams score. At home they have won both games, 4-0 against San Marino and 1-0 against Finland, without conceding.

Albania have won four of their last five (WWLWW) with 10 goals for and 3 against, an average of 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. They have kept three clean sheets, never failed to score and have seen both teams score twice. Away from home they have won one and lost one, scoring 4 and conceding 2: a 3-0 win at San Marino and a 1-2 defeat at Finland.

Belarus vs Albania team news

Line-ups have not been published. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will not guess at names before then.

No absences reported so far.

Belarus and Albania storylines

For Belarus the story is defensive discipline. They have conceded only twice in five games, and one of those defeats was the 2-0 loss at Albania on 26 September. Since then they have drawn 0-0 at Finland and won their next three games without conceding, though the last of those was on 12 November, a 2-0 win at San Marino.

Albania arrive on a run of two straight wins, including the 2-0 home win over Finland on 12 November. Their only defeat in the last five came at Finland, and it was the only game in which they conceded more than once. A win here would back up their position as group leaders, while a defeat would hand Belarus a chance to catch them.

Where Belarus vs Albania will be decided

The central contrast is Albania's attack against Belarus's defence. Albania have scored in every one of their last five games, while Belarus have conceded just 0.4 per game and kept a clean sheet in four of five. Something has to give.

Belarus's own scoring is the other question. They failed to score in two of their last five, and their 1.4 goals per game is well below Albania's 2.0. If Albania take the lead, Belarus will have to chase the game, and their record gives little reason to expect a high-scoring comeback.

Albania's away form is also worth noting. They have conceded in one of two away games, so Belarus will see a chance to attack if they can get at the visitors early.

Belarus vs Albania head-to-head

Albania have won all three meetings in the UEFA Nations League, with Belarus yet to win or draw. The games average 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring once and more than 2.5 goals once.

The most recent was Albania's 2-0 win on 26 September 2026, which followed a 3-2 win in November 2020 and a 2-0 win in Belarus in September 2020. This is the first of the four meetings between the sides that Belarus will host since that September 2020 game.

Belarus vs Albania prediction

Our analysis points to a tight match in which Albania have a slight edge. Their 2.0 goals per game, their win in the first meeting and their position at the top of the table support that lean, but Belarus's home record of two wins and no goals conceded makes a comfortable away win unlikely.

On goals, the lean is towards a modest total. Belarus's games rarely produce goals at both ends, and only one of their last five went over 2.5 goals, although Albania's record of three of five points the other way. An early goal for either side could change the shape of the game, as could late team news.

MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Belarus vs Albania

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Nations League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

Broadcast arrangements differ by country, so confirm the details with the rights holder close to the date.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

Frequently asked questions