Germany vs Netherlands prediction, team news and preview

Germany vs Netherlands: what the match decides

Germany and Netherlands meet in round 6 of UEFA Nations League League A, Group B, on Monday 16 November 2026 at the Olympiastadion. Both sides have played five games, so this is the last one of the group phase.

Netherlands lead the four-team group with 11 points from three wins and two draws, and our data places them in the Play Offs: Quarter-finals zone. Germany are third on 8 points, in the Possible Play-off zone. A home win would bring Germany level on 11 points, while the Dutch are unbeaten and will fancy their chances of holding on to top spot.

Germany and Netherlands recent form

Germany's last five games read DLWDW: two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have scored 6 and conceded 3, which is 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with two clean sheets and two games without scoring. At home they have played two, winning 2-0 against Serbia and losing 1-0 to Greece, scoring 2 and conceding 1.

Netherlands have won three and drawn two of their last five (DWDWW) without losing. They have scored 14 and conceded 5, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.0 against, and they have scored in every game. Both teams scored in four of the five, and four finished with more than 2.5 goals.

Strip out the 7-0 win over Greece on 13 November and the Dutch figure is 7 goals in four games, or 1.75 per game. On the road they have played two, winning 2-1 at Serbia and drawing 2-2 at Greece, scoring 4 and conceding 3.

Germany vs Netherlands team news

No absences are reported for either side in our data so far, so there are no confirmed injuries or suspensions to weigh up. That could change before the match.

Line-ups are not yet published. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will have the confirmed teams once they are released.

No absences reported so far.

Germany and Netherlands storylines

For Germany, the story is a solid defence and a modest attack. They conceded only 3 goals in five games, but failed to score twice, including a 0-1 home defeat to Greece. They come into this match after a 3-1 win at Serbia on 13 November, which lifted them to 8 points.

Netherlands have been the group's most productive side, and the 7-0 win over Greece on 13 November was their biggest result of the campaign. Their goal difference of +9 compares with Germany's +3, and they are still unbeaten.

The two sides met in this group on 24 September and drew 1-1 in the Netherlands, so Germany already know the Dutch can be held.

Where Germany vs Netherlands will be decided

The main contest is Germany's defence against the Dutch attack. Germany concede 0.6 goals per game and have kept two clean sheets, while Netherlands have scored in all five games and average 2.8 goals. Something has to give, though the Dutch figure is boosted by one lopsided result.

Germany's attack is the other question. They score 1.2 per game and one of their two home games ended without a goal for them. Netherlands have conceded 1.0 per game but kept only one clean sheet, so Germany should find chances if they can turn territory into shots.

Tempo may favour the visitors, whose games have been more open: both teams scored in four of their five. Germany's games have been tighter, with only one of five going over 2.5 goals.

Germany vs Netherlands head-to-head

The last six meetings give Germany two wins, Netherlands one and three draws. They have produced 3.0 goals per game, both sides scored in five of the six, and three went over 2.5 goals.

The most recent was the 1-1 draw on 24 September 2026. Before that, Germany won 1-0 at home in October 2024 in the Nations League, drew 2-2 in the Netherlands in September 2024, and won a friendly 2-1 in March 2024. The Dutch last won in this run at Euro 2020 qualifying, beating Germany 4-2 away on 6 September 2019.

Germany vs Netherlands prediction

Our lean is a tight match in which Netherlands, with the stronger attack and unbeaten record, hold a slight model edge, but a draw is a very live outcome. Germany's defence and home record of one win and one loss from two games keep them competitive, and the previous two meetings in this group were level or decided by one goal.

On goals, the Dutch scoring record points up, while Germany's low-scoring games and their 0.6 conceded per game pull it down. The head-to-head average of 3.0 supports an open game, so we lean towards two or three goals rather than a rout.

A very early goal or a late change to either line-up could shift that read. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Germany vs Netherlands

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Nations League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

Broadcast rights differ from country to country, so look at your local official rights holder's schedule for the Monday 16 November 2026 fixture.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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