Genoa vs Venezia prediction, team news and preview

Genoa vs Venezia: what the match decides

Genoa host Venezia at the Luigi Ferraris on Sunday 25 October 2026 in round 8 of Serie A. It is a meeting between two sides who have found points hard to come by. Genoa are 17th with 4 points from 7 games, while Venezia are 20th with 3 points and sit in the relegation zone. Our analysis leans towards a narrow home win, mainly because of Genoa's home form and Venezia's defensive numbers.

The match decides more than the gap suggests. A Genoa win would take them to 7 points and open a four-point lead over Venezia. A Venezia win would lift them to 6 points and above Genoa, who would stay on 4. A draw would leave the order unchanged, with Genoa on 5 and Venezia on 4.

Neither side is near the top. Inter lead the table with 19 points, which is 15 more than Genoa and 16 more than Venezia. Both clubs have won once in 7 league games. Genoa's goal difference is -8 (5 scored, 13 conceded) and Venezia's is -10 (6 scored, 16 conceded). Both teams are looking for the kind of result that changes the tone of their season.

Genoa and Venezia recent form

Genoa's last five games in all competitions read WLLWL: two wins and three defeats, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. That is 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with one clean sheet and two games in which they failed to score. The run includes a 1-0 Coppa Italia win over Sudtirol, a 2-1 Serie A home win over Fiorentina on 10 October, and Serie A defeats at Parma (1-2) and at Roma (0-2). It also includes a 0-2 friendly loss at Rapid.

The home figures are the encouraging part for Genoa. In their two most recent home games they won both, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game), with one clean sheet. That is a very small sample, but it contrasts sharply with their away results.

Venezia's last five were LLLLW. They scored 6 and conceded 12, or 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded per game, with one clean sheet. The defeats were 2-3 at Frosinone, 2-4 against Fiorentina, 0-2 against Lazio and 1-3 at Atalanta. The latest game, on 17 October, was a 1-0 home win over Napoli, the first sign of defensive discipline in that spell.

On the road, Venezia lost both of their most recent away games. They scored 3 and conceded 6, an average of 3.0 conceded per game, and both of those matches had goals at each end. Three of their last five games finished with both teams scoring, and three went over 2.5 goals.

Genoa vs Venezia team news

Genoa have two players ruled out: L. Colombo with an ankle injury and L. Venturino with a knee injury. Three more are doubtful: E. Havel (ankle), F. Meichtry (muscle) and D. Sow, whose injury is not specified in our data. If the doubtful trio miss out, Genoa would have five players unavailable, which would test their squad depth for a game they are expected to control.

Venezia's list is longer. A. Adorante (hernia), G. Busio (thigh), B. Franjic (shoulder) and M. Sverko (hip) are all out. A. Bella-Kotchap and T. Correia are doubtful, both with thigh injuries. Four confirmed absentees, and potentially six, is a heavy burden for the side with the league's worst defensive record in this pairing.

Our data does not give the positions of the injured players, so we will not guess how each absence shifts the shape of either team. No line-ups are published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and the doubtful players will be clearer then.

Genoa vs Venezia storylines

For Genoa, the story is about turning a low-scoring start into something steadier. Five league goals in seven games is a thin return, and defeats at Parma and Roma have followed the home win over Fiorentina. Even so, the Fiorentina result and the Coppa Italia win show that the Luigi Ferraris has been their most reliable setting recently.

Venezia arrive bottom of the table with 3 points and a goal difference of -10, the worst in the data we have. The 4-2 and 3-2 type scorelines in their defeats show a side that creates chances but leaks goals. The 1-0 win over Napoli on 17 October is the notable counterpoint: a clean sheet against a stronger opponent, and their only win in the five-game spell.

The match is a chance for Venezia to prove that Napoli result was a turning point rather than an exception. For Genoa, it is a chance to open a gap on a direct rival before the season settles into a pattern. Whoever loses will feel the pressure of the table more sharply.

Key battles in Genoa vs Venezia

The central contrast is Genoa's modest attack against Venezia's leaky defence. Genoa have scored 0.8 per game in their last five, and failed to score in two of them. Venezia have conceded 2.4 per game in the same span and 3.0 in their away matches. If Genoa can find even their home average of 1.5 goals, the numbers suggest that is enough to cause problems.

Venezia's attack is the other side of the contest. They average 1.2 goals per game overall and 1.5 away, and they scored in four of their last five matches. Genoa concede 1.4 per game across all competitions but only 0.5 at home, so this is where the match could be decided: Venezia's habit of scoring against Genoa's home solidity.

Tempo and game state matter too. Venezia's away games have tended to be open, with both teams scoring in each of their last two. Genoa's home matches have been tighter. If Genoa score first, Venezia may need to chase the game with a depleted squad, which could expose them further. If Venezia score first, Genoa's low scoring rate makes a comeback harder to rely on.

Genoa vs Venezia head-to-head

The two clubs have met six times in the data we have, across Serie A, Serie B and pre-season friendlies. Going by the scores listed, Genoa won four and Venezia won two, with no draws. Those six games produced 17 goals, an average of 2.83 per game. Three of them saw both teams score and three finished with more than 2.5 goals.

The two Serie A meetings both went to the home side by the same 2-0 scoreline. Venezia won at home on 21 September 2024, and Genoa won at the Luigi Ferraris on 17 February 2025. Genoa also won both Serie B meetings, 2-1 away on 14 August 2022 and 1-0 at home on 16 January 2023.

The friendlies pull in different directions. Venezia beat Genoa 4-1 in Genoa in July 2023, and Genoa won 3-1 in Venezia in July 2024. Friendly results carry little weight, but the competitive record leans Genoa's way, with home advantage appearing to matter in this fixture.

Genoa vs Venezia prediction

Our lean is a narrow Genoa win. Three facts drive it. Genoa have won both of their latest home games and conceded only once in them. Venezia have lost both of their latest away games and shipped 3.0 goals per game in those matches. Venezia also have four players out and two more doubtful, while Genoa have two out and three doubtful.

On goals, we lean towards a moderately open game of around two to three goals. Venezia's defensive record points towards goals, and three of their last five games and three of the six head-to-head meetings went over 2.5. Against that, Genoa's home games have been tighter and their own scoring rate is low, so a 1-0 or 2-1 type result feels more likely than a high-scoring contest. Both teams scoring is plausible but not a clear edge.

What could change this view? Late fitness news on Genoa's three doubtful players would matter, as would Venezia's thigh doubts. The 1-0 win over Napoli also shows Venezia can defend when organised. This is a lean, not a certainty, and the results of the season so far show that both teams have been volatile. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Genoa vs Venezia

In Italy, the match is listed with DAZN and Sky Sport. In the United Kingdom, the listed broadcasters are DAZN, TNT Sports and BBC Alba, and in Ireland they are DAZN and TNT Sports. DAZN is also listed in Spain, Germany, France, Austria, Belgium, Switzerland, Japan and several other countries, with Sky Sport additionally listed in Switzerland.

In the United States, the listed broadcasters are Paramount+ and Telemundo. In Canada they are fuboTV and TLN, and in Australia and New Zealand it is beIN Sports. ESPN is listed across much of Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Colombia and Chile. In Brazil, SportyNet and CazéTV are also listed.

In much of Africa, SuperSport is the listed broadcaster, sometimes alongside Azam Sports or SportyTV. Across the Middle East and North Africa, StarzPlay and Shasha Sports are listed. If your country is not mentioned here, check Serie A's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app. Always use a licensed provider to follow the match live.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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