FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction, team news and preview

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: what the match decides

FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg at the WWK Arena on Saturday 31 October 2026 in round 8 of the Bundesliga. The table makes Freiburg the superior side on paper: they are third with 13 points from seven games, a position that currently carries a Champions League league-stage place. Augsburg are ninth with 9 points, four behind their visitors.

The match decides whether Freiburg can stay in touch with leaders Bayern München, who have 17 points, or whether a poor week of results starts to cost them ground. For Augsburg it is a chance to turn a run of draws into something more useful. They have not won in their last five league games, according to their form string of DLDLD.

Our short answer to the question most readers have: this looks like a tight, open game. Freiburg have the better league position, but Augsburg are hard to beat at home in these figures and the visitors have been leaking goals. Details on each side follow below.

Augsburg and Freiburg recent form

Augsburg's last five matches across all competitions read DDLDW. That is one win, three draws and one defeat, with 12 goals scored (2.4 per game) and 11 conceded (2.2 per game). They have not kept a clean sheet in that run, and both teams have scored in all five of those games. That sequence includes a friendly against Hertha BSC and a DFB Pokal win at SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, so not every game carries Bundesliga weight.

At home, Augsburg have played three of those five and drawn all three: 2-2 with Hertha BSC, 2-2 with Bayern München and 1-1 with Union Berlin. That is five goals scored and five conceded, or 1.67 per game each way. Their most recent league outing was a 3-4 defeat at SV Elversberg on 17 October.

Freiburg's last five read WLLLW: wins over FK Jablonec (3-2) and VfL Wolfsburg (3-2 in the DFB Pokal), and defeats at Bayer Leverkusen (1-2), at Monaco (0-3) and at home to Bayern München (1-3). They have scored 8 (1.6 per game) and conceded 12 (2.4 per game), with no clean sheets. All five games have produced more than 2.5 goals.

The away numbers are the sharper concern for Freiburg. In their two away games in that sample they lost both, scoring one goal and conceding five. Their league-only form of LLWDW shows the same wobble after a strong start to the season.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg team news

Augsburg have the longer list. J. Bah is out because of a red card, N. Banks is out with a knee injury and S. Mounie is out with an injury. Two more players are doubtful: C. Brackelmann with concussion and A. Claude-Maurice with a muscle injury.

Three confirmed absentees and two doubts will test the home squad's depth, especially in a team that has scored freely but also conceded in every recent game. The two doubtful players are worth watching in the final days before the game, because the outcome of their fitness checks could decide how much rotation the home side needs.

Freiburg report one doubt: B. Yilmaz, who is listed as lacking match fitness. No other absences are reported for the visitors in our data. That is a lighter list than Augsburg's, but Freiburg have another factor to manage. They played in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday 28 October, having also played in the Conference League on 15 and 22 October. That is five games in 14 days.

Line-ups are not yet published. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will reflect them in our match-day coverage.

Storylines: a draw-heavy home side and a flagging visitor

For Augsburg the story is the draw. They have 3 draws and 2 wins and 2 defeats from seven league games, and five of their last six league and cup results at home or on the road have ended level or lost in a high-scoring game. They have scored 17 league goals, which is more than Freiburg's 16, yet their goal difference is only +4 because of 13 conceded. The attack is not the issue; the margin for error at the back is.

Augsburg also come into the weekend with some momentum from the cup. The 4-2 win at Sonnenhof Grossaspach on 27 October was their first victory in five games in all competitions, although the opposition was a lower-league side and the game still produced two goals against them.

Freiburg's story is the contrast between their table position and their last two weeks. Their league record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded, is that of a top-four side, and the goal difference of +7 is the better of the two teams by three goals. But the last two weeks have brought three defeats in four games, including a 1-3 home loss to Bayern München on 25 October.

The Wolfsburg cup win three days ago at least stops the slide. How much energy that match took, with a 3-2 scoreline suggesting an open game, is a question that Saturday will start to answer.

Where Augsburg vs Freiburg will be decided

The central contest is defence against defence, and neither side has much to be proud of. Augsburg have conceded 2.2 goals per game over their last five and have not kept a clean sheet. Freiburg have conceded 2.4 per game with no clean sheet either. In practical terms, whichever side manages to defend the first transition or set-piece phase well is likely to take control.

Both sides have also scored regularly. Augsburg have found the net in all five recent games, and Freiburg have failed to score only once, in the 0-3 defeat at Monaco. Both teams scoring has happened in all five of Augsburg's recent games and in four of Freiburg's. Over 2.5 goals appeared in four of Augsburg's five and all five of Freiburg's.

The home and away splits point to the other pressure point. Augsburg's three home games all ended in draws with goals at both ends. Freiburg scored just one goal in two away games while conceding five. If the visitors start slowly, as they did at Monaco and Leverkusen, Augsburg's home pattern of scoring early enough to stay level could be enough to take something from the game.

Finally, there is the squad-depth contest. Augsburg's missing players and Freiburg's fixture congestion may shape the final 20 minutes more than any tactical plan.

Augsburg vs Freiburg head-to-head

The last six Bundesliga meetings are finely balanced: two wins for Augsburg, two for Freiburg and two draws. (One summary field in our data lists six away wins, which does not match the individual scores, so we have worked from the results themselves.) Those games have produced 17 goals, an average of 2.83 per game, with both teams scoring in four of the six and more than 2.5 goals in four.

The most recent meeting at the WWK Arena was a 2-2 draw on 18 January 2026. Before that, Augsburg won 3-1 away at Freiburg on 23 August 2025, one of the more emphatic results in the series. The 0-0 draw in Augsburg on 2 March 2025 is the only goalless game in the sequence.

Freiburg won 3-1 at home on 19 October 2024 and 2-0 on 1 October 2023, while Augsburg won 2-1 at home on 25 February 2024. In Augsburg, then, the record is a win, two draws and a further win in the last four home meetings with no defeats for the hosts in that sample, which matches their current home resilience.

Head-to-head records carry limited weight when the squads change, but the pattern of tight games with goals at both ends fits the current trends of both teams.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction

Our lean is a close match that finishes level or goes narrowly the way of the home side, with Freiburg's league position offset by their poor away form and heavy schedule. Augsburg's three home draws, the recent head-to-head pattern and Freiburg's two away defeats (one goal scored, five conceded) all point to a game that stays in the balance until late. The model edge, such as it is, sits with the draw rather than either side winning by a clear margin.

On goals, the lean is towards more than 2.5 and both teams scoring. Both sides have conceded in every recent game in our data, Freiburg have seen over 2.5 goals in all five of their last games, and Augsburg have in four of five. A clean sheet for either side would be the surprise.

Several things could shift this read. Augsburg's two doubts, Brackelmann and Claude-Maurice, matter because the hosts are already without three players. A rested, fit Yilmaz would help Freiburg. A visiting side that has recovered from its midweek cup game could also use its higher league quality, as the table suggests it should. Treat this as a lean, not a certainty.

MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

In Germany the match is listed with Sky Sport, DAZN, Sat.1 and RTL. In the United Kingdom the listed broadcasters are Sky Sports, BBC and Prime Video, and in Ireland Sky Sports and Prime Video. In Spain it is DAZN, and in Canada OneSoccer.

In the United States, the listed broadcasters are USA Network, Fandango, Telemundo, Universo and Peacock. In Indonesia it is MNC, and in Vietnam TV360.

Across the Middle East and North Africa, Shahid and MBC Action are listed in countries including the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Egypt, Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia. If your country is not listed, check the Bundesliga's official broadcast partner there and its official app. Coverage can differ by platform, so confirm which service carries this fixture before the day.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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