Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction, team news and preview

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: what the match decides

Crystal Palace welcome Newcastle to Selhurst Park on Sunday 25 October 2026 in Round 8 of the Premier League. It is a meeting of two sides in the lower half of a congested table. Newcastle are 11th with 8 points from 7 games, while Palace are 14th with 7 points from the same number of matches.

The gap is a single point, so the result will reshuffle the middle of the table whichever way it falls. Manchester City lead with 21 points, and neither side is close to that pace. For both clubs the realistic target is to stop a drift towards the bottom half before it hardens into a pattern.

Our short answer: this looks like an open, high-event game with a slight lean towards Newcastle, mainly because of their head-to-head record and a better-rested squad. The reasoning is set out below, starting with the form of both teams and then the absence lists, which are long on both sides.

Crystal Palace and Newcastle recent form

Palace's last five games across all competitions read L-W-L-L-D: one win, one draw and three defeats. They scored 7 and conceded 13, which works out at 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, with no clean sheets and two games in which they failed to score. Three of the five saw both teams score and four went over 2.5 goals. That run includes a 0-2 home loss to Bristol City in a friendly, a 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest, a 2-3 defeat at Lyon, a 0-5 loss at Brighton and a 2-2 draw at Beşiktaş in the Europa League.

At Selhurst Park the picture is milder. In their last two home games Palace won one and lost one, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.5 each per game), with no clean sheet. It is a small sample, but it suggests the home side are not collapsing in front of their own crowd the way the Brighton scoreline might imply.

Newcastle's last five are W-L-W-L-L: two wins and three defeats, with 5 scored and 10 conceded (1.0 and 2.0 per game). They kept one clean sheet, failed to score once, and three games produced goals at both ends. The results were a 1-0 win at Millwall in the League Cup, a 1-4 defeat at Leeds, a 2-1 home win over Hull City, a 1-4 loss at Coventry and a 0-1 home defeat to Aston Villa.

Away from home, Newcastle's numbers are the more worrying. In three away games they won one and lost two, scoring 3 and conceding 8, or 2.67 conceded per game. Both of their heavy losses, at Leeds and Coventry, ended 1-4.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle team news

Palace have the longer list. Four players are ruled out: D. Henderson (foot injury), C. Riad (knee injury), Q. Timber (injury) and T. Tomiyasu (calf injury). J. Larsen is doubtful with an injury. Our data does not give positions, so we will not guess where the gaps fall, but four absentees plus a doubt is a heavy load for a side that has conceded 13 in its last five and also played in Turkey three days earlier.

Newcastle are missing E. Jaouen (muscle injury) and V. Livramento (knee injury), both listed as out. A. Elanga (knee injury) and J. Ramsey (thigh injury) are doubtful. Their fitness will matter for how much the visitors can change in the second half, since two of the four names on the list are still undecided.

No line-ups are published in our data yet. Teams are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and the doubtful players are the ones to watch on that team sheet.

One scheduling point is worth noting. Palace played at Beşiktaş on 22 October, three days before this game, while Newcastle's most recent match was the home defeat to Aston Villa on 17 October. That gives the visitors a longer recovery window, and it may influence how Palace manage minutes.

Key storylines for Palace and Newcastle

For Palace, the story is volatility. They have taken 7 points from 7 league games and carry the worst goal difference of the two sides at -8, with 9 scored and 17 conceded. The league form line of L-W-D-L-W shows they can pick up a result, as the 3-1 win over Forest did, but the 0-5 defeat at Brighton on 18 October is the shadow over the home dressing room. A response in front of their own supporters is the obvious storyline.

The Europa League adds another layer. Palace came back from Lyon with a 2-3 defeat and then drew 2-2 at Beşiktaş, so they are scoring in Europe but not defending cleanly. Managing that schedule alongside the league is part of what this match tests.

For Newcastle, the story is a stalled start. They sit 11th on 8 points with a goal difference of -4, and the league form line of L-L-W-L-D shows only one win in their last five league games. Three defeats in a row in different settings, at Leeds, at Coventry and at home to Villa, have shown that their problems are not tied to a single venue.

What the match can change: a Newcastle win would take them to 11 points and clearly into the upper half of the table, while a Palace win would lift them above Newcastle on points. A draw would leave the gap at one point and the questions unanswered for both.

Where Palace vs Newcastle will be decided

The central battle is Palace's defensive fragility against Newcastle's modest attack. Palace concede 2.6 goals a game over their last five, but Newcastle score only 1.0 per game over the same span and have failed to score once. If the visitors cannot find a way past a stretched back line, the chances of a big win drop. If they can, the home side's record suggests they will be punished more than once.

The second contest runs the other way. Newcastle have conceded 8 in three away games, and Palace score 1.5 per game at Selhurst Park. A home goal looks more likely than not, particularly given that Palace's last meeting with Newcastle ended 2-1 in their favour.

Tempo is the third factor. Over their last five, four Palace games went over 2.5 goals and three Newcastle games did. Add the fact that both teams have kept very few clean sheets, none for Palace and one for Newcastle, and you get a match profile that leans open rather than cagey.

Recovery may also shape the final half hour. Palace play with three days between Turkey and this game and a depleted squad, so the question is whether the home side can hold their shape late on while Newcastle bring fresher legs, subject to who is fit.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle head-to-head

The six meetings in our data, all in the Premier League, favour Newcastle. Counted from the individual results, Newcastle won three, Palace won two and one game was drawn. Those games produced 18 goals, an average of 3.0 per game, with both teams scoring in two of them and three going over 2.5 goals.

The most recent meeting was a 2-1 Palace win at Selhurst Park on 12 April 2026. Before that Newcastle won 2-0 at home on 4 January 2026, and 5-0 at home on 16 April 2025. The earlier results were a 1-1 draw at Selhurst Park on 30 November 2024, a 2-0 Palace home win on 24 April 2024 and a 4-0 Newcastle home win on 21 October 2023.

The venue split is the interesting part. In the three listed games at Selhurst Park, Palace won two and drew one, so they have not lost to Newcastle at home in this sample. Newcastle's three wins all came at St James' Park, and they conceded no goal in two of the three of them. Those heavy wins are older, though, and both sides look very different on current form.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction

Our lean is a narrow, open game with a slight edge to Newcastle, and a draw a very live alternative. The visitors have the better league position, a point more, a smaller goal-difference deficit and more recovery time. Palace, though, have the better home record against them in this sample and score at a healthy rate at Selhurst Park.

On goals, the numbers point clearly towards a lively match. Neither side has kept a clean sheet more than once in its last five, Palace have conceded 2.6 per game and Newcastle 2.67 on the road. We lean towards both teams scoring and towards the match going over 2.5 goals, with the head-to-head average of 3.0 goals per game supporting that view.

Three facts drive the read: Palace's four confirmed absentees and short turnaround, Newcastle's away concession rate, and the venue pattern in the head-to-head. What could change it is team news. If Elanga and Ramsey are both ruled out, Newcastle lose attacking options, and if Larsen returns for Palace, the home side gain some stability.

This is a lean, not a certainty, and a single early goal could change the shape of the game. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Kick-off time is shown on this page in your own time zone. The match is played on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Selhurst Park, and you should use only official broadcasters.

Our data lists these official broadcasters in a selection of countries: in the United States NBC, Telemundo and USA Network; in Canada fuboTV; in Ireland Sky Sports, TNT Sports and Premier Sports; in Australia Stan Sport; in New Zealand Sky Sport; in India Star Sports. In Spain it is DAZN and Movistar Plus+; in Germany, Austria, Italy and Switzerland Sky Sport (Switzerland also lists Canal+); in France Canal+; and in the Netherlands, Sweden and Denmark Viaplay and Prime Video.

For Latin America, ESPN is listed in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Uruguay, among others. Brazil lists ESPN and CazéTV, and Mexico lists Warner Bros. Discovery and Fox. In the Middle East and North Africa beIN Sports is listed in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt, among others. SuperSport is listed in Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa, with SABC Sport also in South Africa.

No United Kingdom broadcaster is listed in our data. If you are in the UK or in a country not named above, check the Premier League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

Frequently asked questions