Bodo/Glimt vs Lille prediction, team news and preview

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: what the match decides

Bodo/Glimt host Lille at Aspmyra Stadion on Tuesday 3 November 2026 in the fourth round of the Champions League league stage. The match decides more for Lille, who sit 35th of 36 teams with no points from three games. The hosts are 28th with three points from a record of one win and two defeats. Paris Saint Germain lead the phase on nine points, so both sides are chasing from a long way back.

Our main read is that Bodo/Glimt are the more likely winner. They have home advantage, a win over Borussia Dortmund already banked in this competition and the sharper attack of the two. Lille arrive having lost all three European games and conceded 10 goals in them.

That does not make this a one-way contest. Bodo/Glimt have conceded nine goals in their three league-phase games, so Lille will see chances if they can get forward. The question is whether a side scoring one goal per game across its last five can take them.

Both clubs have injury problems, and Lille will also be without E. Mbappe through suspension. Line-ups are not published yet and are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Bodo/Glimt and Lille recent form

Bodo/Glimt have won three of their last five games (WWLLW), scoring 9 goals and conceding 7. That is 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. They kept two clean sheets, failed to score once and saw both teams score in two matches. The run includes a 1-0 home win over Borussia Dortmund on 14 October, a 2-0 win at Ham-Kam, a 3-4 defeat at Napoli, a 0-1 home loss to Valerenga and a 3-2 home win over Viking on 30 October.

At Aspmyra the picture is solid without being dominant. In their last three home games Bodo/Glimt won two and lost one, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded per game). They kept one clean sheet and failed to score once, which was the Valerenga defeat. Only one of those three home games produced more than 2.5 goals.

Lille's last five (LDLDW) read far less comfortably: one win, two draws and two defeats, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. That works out at 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with one clean sheet and one blank. They lost 0-3 at Arsenal and 2-4 at home to Galatasaray in the Champions League, drew 1-1 with Stade Brestois 29 and Monaco in Ligue 1, and beat Lens 1-0 on 30 October.

The away numbers are the most worrying for Lille. In their last two away games they drew one and lost one, scoring one goal and conceding four (0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded per game). They failed to score once and did not keep a clean sheet. The 1-0 win over Lens is a welcome result, but it came at home.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille team news

Bodo/Glimt have four players listed as out: H. Evjen (knee injury), J. Lund (injury), A. Mikkelsen (groin injury) and I. Sjong (injury). No doubtful players are reported in our data. Four absentees is a heavy load for a squad that also plays in the Eliteserien, and it limits the options for rotation after a short turnaround from Friday's win over Viking. Our data does not give positions or minutes played for these players, so we cannot say which areas of the team are hit hardest.

Lille also have four players out. H. Igamane (knee injury), T. Santos (knee injury) and A. Ueda (foot injury) are injured. E. Mbappe is out because of a red card, so he is suspended rather than injured. Again, no doubtful players are listed.

The suspension matters because it is a loss the manager could have avoided, and it narrows an already stretched squad before a long trip. Lille have scored just one goal in two away games recently. Losing players from the attacking and midfield unit, if that is where the absentees play, would not help that record, though our data does not specify positions.

No line-ups are published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will update the picture once they are available. Until then, treat any predicted XI with caution, given the number of absences on both sides.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille storylines

For Bodo/Glimt the story is a campaign of extremes. They beat Dortmund 1-0 at home and then lost 3-4 at Napoli, a scoreline that shows both their attacking ability and their defensive fragility. Their league-phase record of four goals scored and nine conceded (a goal difference of minus five) implies that their remaining defeat was heavy. By subtraction, it was a 0-5 loss with no goals for them.

Domestically the form is mixed too. The home loss to Valerenga on 24 October was followed by a 3-2 win over Viking six days later. Bodo/Glimt have won three of their last five overall, which gives them some momentum going into a game they will fancy winning.

Lille's storyline is damage limitation. They have lost all three European games, scored four goals and conceded 10, giving a goal difference of minus six. Two of those defeats are the 0-3 at Arsenal and the 2-4 against Galatasaray, and the third accounts for the other two goals scored and three conceded.

There is a small positive for Lille. They are unbeaten in their last two Ligue 1 games, with a draw at Monaco and a win over Lens, and the 1-0 against Lens was a clean sheet. If they can carry that defensive discipline into Norway, the evening becomes more competitive. A first point would also move them off the bottom spot for zero points, though the table is tight enough that goal difference will matter.

Where Bodo/Glimt vs Lille will be decided

The central contrast is Bodo/Glimt's attack against Lille's away defence. The hosts score 1.8 goals per game over their last five and 1.33 at home, while Lille concede 1.8 per game overall and 2.0 away. Over their last three, Lille have let in at least three goals in two of their five most recent outings, against Arsenal and Galatasaray. That pattern gives Bodo/Glimt a clear route to goals.

The reverse matchup is closer than it looks. Lille score 1.0 per game over five and only 0.5 away, so they are not a side that overwhelms opponents. Bodo/Glimt concede 1.4 per game overall and 1.0 at home, but in Europe the hosts have already conceded four to Napoli and, by our calculation, five in another game. Lille do not need many chances to score once, and Bodo/Glimt have shipped goals in bunches.

Game state may decide the tempo. If Bodo/Glimt score first, Lille's away record suggests they could struggle to respond, given they failed to score in one of their last two away trips. If Lille get the first goal, the hosts have shown against Napoli and Viking that they can trade goals in open games.

Defensive availability is the hidden factor. With four players out on each side, the more stable back line will have an edge, and managers may be forced into late adjustments. Set pieces and transitions are likely to be where a weakened shape gets exposed, though our data does not give set-piece figures, so that is an inference from the goals conceded rather than a measured trend.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille head-to-head

No previous meetings between Bodo/Glimt and Lille are recorded in our data, so there is no head-to-head record to draw on. That means no results, goals per game or trends from past encounters can be cited.

In the absence of history, current form is the better guide. Neither side has recent experience of the other, and the match is likely to be shaped by how each handles the pressure of a league-phase game with little margin for error.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille prediction

Our lean is a home win for Bodo/Glimt, with a decent chance of goals at both ends. The shape we expect is an open game in which the hosts create the better chances and Lille threaten in spells. A narrow home win, perhaps by a goal, is the most likely scenario, though a draw would not be a surprise.

Three facts drive the lean. First, Bodo/Glimt score 1.8 goals per game over their last five, against Lille's 1.8 conceded. Second, Lille have taken 0 points from three European games and have scored one goal in two recent away matches. Third, Bodo/Glimt have won two of their last three at Aspmyra.

On goals, we lean toward three or more in total, although the evidence is not overwhelming. Both sides have shown leaky defences in Europe, and both teams scored in two of Bodo/Glimt's last five and three of Lille's. Against that, only one of Bodo/Glimt's last three home games and one of Lille's last two away games went over 2.5 goals, so a tighter game is a real possibility.

What could change the picture? The injury lists on both sides, the confirmed line-ups and an early goal could all shift the balance. A Lille clean sheet in the first half would also point to a tighter evening. This is a lean, not a certainty, and MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

The match is part of the UEFA Champions League, and the official broadcasters differ by country. In Norway, TV 2 is listed. In the United Kingdom, TNT Sports, Prime Video and the BBC are listed, while in Ireland the list is TNT Sports, Prime Video, RTÉ, Premier Sports and Virgin Media. In France, Canal+ and M6 are the listed broadcasters.

Elsewhere in Europe, DAZN, Prime Video and ZDF are listed in Germany, Sky Sport and Prime Video in Italy, Movistar Plus+ in Spain, Ziggo Sport in the Netherlands, and Sport TV and DAZN in Portugal. Viaplay is listed in Denmark, Sweden and Iceland. In Belgium the listed broadcasters are RTL, VTM, Proximus and Play Sports.

In North America, DAZN, Paramount+ and TelevisaUnivision are listed in the United States, and DAZN and OneSoccer in Canada. In Mexico, TNT Sports and Fox are listed, and ESPN covers much of South America, including Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Uruguay. TNT Sports and SBT are listed in Brazil.

Further afield, beIN Sports covers much of the Middle East and North Africa, SuperSport is listed across much of sub-Saharan Africa, including Nigeria and South Africa, Sony Sports Network in India and Stan Sport in Australia. If your country is not mentioned here, check the competition's official broadcast partner and its official app in your region.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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