Blackburn vs Wrexham prediction, team news and preview

Blackburn vs Wrexham: what the match decides

Blackburn and Wrexham meet in round 12 of the Championship on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Ewood Park. Blackburn sit 10th with 15 points from 11 games (four wins, three draws, four defeats), while Wrexham are 14th on 14 points (three wins, five draws, three defeats).

The gap is a single point, and leaders Swansea are on 23, so the match decides which side edges into the better half of a tight mid-table. The model edge points to the home side, mainly because of how each team has performed in its recent home and away games.

Blackburn and Wrexham recent form

Blackburn have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game). They beat Millwall 3-1 and Cardiff 2-1 at home, won 1-0 at Bristol City, drew 2-2 at Portsmouth and lost 3-2 at West Brom last time out. Both teams scored in four of those five games, and four went over 2.5 goals. Their two home games in that spell were both wins, with five scored and two conceded.

Wrexham have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.6 and 2.2 per game) without a clean sheet. They beat Southampton 2-1 and Preston 4-1 at home, drew 1-1 at Derby, lost 2-1 to West Brom at home and were beaten 6-0 at West Ham. In their two away games in that run they drew once, lost once, scored one goal and conceded seven.

Blackburn vs Wrexham team news

Blackburn have five players out: A. Forshaw (hip), M. Litherland (muscle), L. Miller (Achilles tendon), Y. Ohashi (hamstring) and Y. Ribeiro (hamstring). S. Wharton is doubtful with an Achilles tendon injury. That is a long list, though our data does not say which of them are regular starters.

Wrexham are missing six: N. Broadhead (thigh), L. Cacace (calf), M. Cleworth (muscle), B. Sheaf (injury), G. Thomason (thigh) and J. Windass (ankle). S. Revan is doubtful with a hamstring problem. Line-ups are not yet published; they are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Storylines for Blackburn and Wrexham

Blackburn arrive after a 3-2 defeat at West Brom, but they had won three of the four games before it. Their goal difference is +1 (17 scored, 16 conceded), which fits a side that scores freely and concedes regularly.

Wrexham's season has been defined by draws, with five from 11, and a goal difference of -1 (15 scored, 16 conceded). Their last two results were a home defeat to West Brom followed by a 4-1 win over Preston, so they come in with some momentum. A win here would lift them level with or past Blackburn in the table.

Where Blackburn vs Wrexham will be decided

The central contrast is Blackburn's home attack against Wrexham's away defence. Blackburn have averaged 2.5 goals in their two recent home games, while Wrexham have conceded 3.5 per game in their two recent away matches. That sample is small and skewed by the 6-0 loss at West Ham, but the direction is clear.

Wrexham's strength is that they find goals too, scoring in four of their last five games, so Blackburn's own defence, which has conceded 1.4 per game recently, will be tested. With injuries on both sides, depth and tempo late in the game could matter.

Blackburn vs Wrexham head-to-head

The sides have met three times in our data: one Blackburn win, one draw and one Wrexham win, with 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in two of the three meetings, and one went over 2.5 goals.

Blackburn won 4-1 at home in the FA Cup on 29 January 2024. The Championship meetings were a 1-1 draw at Wrexham on 29 November 2025 and a 2-0 Wrexham win at Ewood Park on 1 January 2026, so Wrexham won the most recent visit here.

Blackburn vs Wrexham prediction

Our lean is a narrow Blackburn win, with a high-scoring match the most likely shape. Three facts drive that view: Blackburn's two recent home wins, Wrexham's 3.5 goals conceded per game in their last two away matches, and Wrexham's 2.2 conceded per game across their last five.

A lean towards both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals fits the trends, as each side has seen four of its last five games end that way. The main risk to the view is Blackburn's injury list and a Wrexham side that won here last time and tends to draw, so a share of the points is far from ruled out. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Blackburn vs Wrexham

No broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the Championship's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage on Saturday 24 October 2026.

Broadcast arrangements differ by country, so confirm the details with the official rights holder where you live.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

Frequently asked questions